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Rockets vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, Space City Home Network, NBA League Pass
69% win HOUwin POR 31%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin6.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (17-20) host the Houston Rockets (22-11) on Wednesday, January 7 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 102 – Trail Blazers 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 69% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Trail Blazers are 8-9 at home and the Rockets are 11-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Trail Blazers and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Rockets W1).

The analysis Model

The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 112 – 119 Rockets, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.4 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.4 / HOU +6.3 per game
-8.6
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-6.3

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
10%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Rockets win by 10+
38%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUPOR
118.0
Points scored / game
115.4
110.7
Points allowed / game
118.2
51.7 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
40.4 %
3-point %
38.9 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
84.7 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
46.3
28.2
Assists / game
30.7
10.2
Steals / game
8.3
6.0
Blocks / game
2.7
15.8
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #737pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #16assists
Tari EasonF · #1713rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #841pts / game
Caleb LoveG · #84assists
Donovan ClinganC · #237rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

HOUPOR
22-11Record17-20
118.0Points scored / game115.4
110.7Points allowed / game118.2
+6.3Adjusted margin / game-2.4
W1Current streakW3
6-4Last 10 games6-4
11-9 roadHome / road record8-9 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.