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Trail Blazers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, November 14

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · Space City Home Network, KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass
23% win PORwin HOU 77%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin9.2
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (7-3) host the Portland Trail Blazers (6-5) on Friday, November 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 116 – Rockets 140. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 3-1 at home and the Trail Blazers are 3-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Rockets and 6-4 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Rockets W2, Trail Blazers W1).

The analysis Model

The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Rockets 120 – 111 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -0.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +6.3 / POR -0.5 per game
+6.9
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+9.2

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
47%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

PORHOU
115.7
Points scored / game
118.7
116.4
Points allowed / game
111.2
51.1 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
38.9 %
3-point %
40.4 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
70.8 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
44.8
30.7
Assists / game
28.2
8.3
Steals / game
10.2
2.7
Blocks / game
6.0
13.3
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #56assists
Deni AvdijaF · #810rebounds
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #730pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #289assists
Steven AdamsC · #1211rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORHOU
6-5Record7-3
115.7Points scored / game118.7
116.4Points allowed / game111.2
-0.5Adjusted margin / game+6.3
W1Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games7-3
3-3 roadHome / road record3-1 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.