Pelicans vs Hawks prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (17-21) host the New Orleans Pelicans (8-30) on Wednesday, January 7 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 100 – Hawks 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 6-11 at home and the Pelicans are 2-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Hawks and 2-8 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Hawks L2, Pelicans L8).
The analysis Model
The Hawks start with a clear edge. The model projects Hawks 123 – 113 Pelicans, a margin of about 9.8 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-1.1 vs -7.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOATL
Top performers
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #122pts / gameZion WilliamsonF · #16assists
Derik QueenC · #2210reboundsHawks
Zaccharie RisacherF · #1025pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #58assists
Mouhamed GueyeF · #1811reboundsRecent form
NOATL
ATL
Team comparison
| NO | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-30 | Record | 17-21 |
| 113.6 | Points scored / game | 118.4 |
| 122.0 | Points allowed / game | 119.7 |
| -7.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.1 |
| L8 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 2-13 road | Home / road record | 6-11 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.