Hawks vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Saturday, November 22
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (2-14) host the Atlanta Hawks (9-7) on Saturday, November 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 115 – Pelicans 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 1-7 at home and the Hawks are 7-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pelicans and 6-4 for the Hawks (current streaks: Pelicans L8, Hawks L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hawks dominate this matchup. The model projects Pelicans 111 – 120 Hawks, a margin of about 9.4 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-9.5 vs +0.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hawks' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLNO
Top performers
Hawks
Kristaps PorzingisC · #730pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #19assistsJalen JohnsonF · #111reboundsPelicans
Derik QueenC · #2220pts / game
Saddiq BeyG · #415assistsSaddiq BeyG · #4111reboundsRecent form
ATLNO
ATL
Team comparison
| ATL | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-7 | Record | 2-14 |
| 117.9 | Points scored / game | 109.5 |
| 117.2 | Points allowed / game | 120.7 |
| +0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.5 |
| L2 | Current streak | L8 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 7-3 road | Home / road record | 1-7 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.