Hornets vs Thunder prediction NBA · Monday, January 5
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (30-6) host the Charlotte Hornets (12-23) on Monday, January 5 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 124 – Thunder 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 91% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Thunder are 17-2 at home and the Hornets are 5-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Thunder and 5-5 for the Hornets (current streaks: Thunder L1, Hornets W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 122 – 106 Hornets, a margin of about 16.5 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Thunder played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+12.1 vs -3.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHAOKC
Top performers
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2428pts / game
Kon KnueppelG · #75assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1412reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #221pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #26assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #76reboundsRecent form
CHAOKC
OKC
Team comparison
| CHA | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-23 | Record | 30-6 |
| 113.1 | Points scored / game | 121.6 |
| 117.4 | Points allowed / game | 107.3 |
| -3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +12.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 5-13 road | Home / road record | 17-2 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.