Thunder vs Hornets prediction NBA · Saturday, November 15
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (4-8) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (12-1) on Saturday, November 15 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 109 – Hornets 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 90% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 3-3 at home and the Thunder are 6-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Hornets and 9-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Hornets L1, Thunder W4).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Hornets 106 – 122 Thunder, a margin of about 16.4 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-4.9 vs +12.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCCHA
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #233pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #27assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5512reboundsHornets
Miles BridgesF · #2215pts / game
KJ SimpsonG · #255assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1411reboundsRecent form
OKCCHA
OKC
Team comparison
| OKC | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-1 | Record | 4-8 |
| 121.6 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 107.3 | Points allowed / game | 117.8 |
| +12.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.9 |
| W4 | Current streak | L1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 6-1 road | Home / road record | 3-3 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.