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Grizzlies vs Lakers prediction NBA · Sunday, January 4

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
44% win MEMwin LAL 56%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin1.9
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (21-11) host the Memphis Grizzlies (15-19) on Sunday, January 4 at 9:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 114 – Lakers 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 9-6 at home and the Grizzlies are 8-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Lakers and 4-6 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Lakers W1, Grizzlies L3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Lakers 118 – 116 Grizzlies, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.2 / MEM +0.5 per game
-0.4
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+1.9

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Grizzlies win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMLAL
117.5
Points scored / game
116.2
116.9
Points allowed / game
116.0
45.3 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
39.1 %
3-point %
39.2 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
82.8 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
38.0
25.0
Assists / game
24.0
6.3
Steals / game
10.8
6.3
Blocks / game
5.8
15.5
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Grizzlies
Jaylen WellsF · #023pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #249assists
Jock LandaleC · #3110rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7736pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2310assists
Luka DoncicG · #779rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MEMLAL
15-19Record21-11
117.5Points scored / game116.2
116.9Points allowed / game116.0
+0.5Adjusted margin / game+0.2
L3Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
8-10 roadHome / road record9-6 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.