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Lakers vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, October 31

FinalFedExForum · Prime Video, Spectrum Sports Net
38% win LALwin MEM 62%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin3.7
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (3-2) host the Los Angeles Lakers (3-2) on Friday, October 31 at 9:30 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 117 – Grizzlies 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 2-1 at home and the Lakers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Grizzlies and 3-2 for the Lakers (current streaks: Grizzlies W1, Lakers W1).

The analysis Model

The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 119 – 115 Lakers, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (121.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +2.3 / LAL +0.8 per game
+1.4
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+3.7

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Lakers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

LALMEM
114.6
Points scored / game
121.3
113.6
Points allowed / game
118.7
52.9 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
39.2 %
3-point %
39.1 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
79.1 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
50.0
24.0
Assists / game
25.0
10.8
Steals / game
6.3
5.8
Blocks / game
6.3
16.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7744pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #776assists
Luka DoncicG · #7712rebounds
Grizzlies
Jaylen WellsF · #016pts / game
Ja MorantG · #17assists
Cedric CowardF · #2310rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALMEM
3-2Record3-2
114.6Points scored / game121.3
113.6Points allowed / game118.7
+0.8Adjusted margin / game+2.3
W1Current streakW1
3-2Last 10 games3-2
2-0 roadHome / road record2-1 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.