Bucks vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, January 4
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (8-27) host the Milwaukee Bucks (15-20) on Sunday, January 4 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 115 – Kings 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 5-11 at home and the Bucks are 6-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 5-5 for the Bucks (current streaks: Kings L4, Bucks W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Bucks, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Kings 113 – 117 Bucks, a margin of about 3.9 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-7.4 vs -1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILSAC
Top performers
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #737pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #710assistsGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #711reboundsKings
Russell WestbrookG · #1821pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #175assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #428reboundsRecent form
MILSAC
SAC
Team comparison
| MIL | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-20 | Record | 8-27 |
| 113.9 | Points scored / game | 111.9 |
| 115.3 | Points allowed / game | 120.6 |
| -1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | L4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 6-11 road | Home / road record | 5-11 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.