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Kings vs Bucks prediction NBA · Saturday, November 1

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
2-4 · away
Final score
135-133
Projected: 112-119
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
4-2 · home
30% win SACwin MIL 70%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin6.7
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (4-1) host the Sacramento Kings (1-4) on Saturday, November 1 at 5:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Kings 135 – Bucks 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 70% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 3-0 at home and the Kings are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the Bucks and 1-4 for the Kings (current streaks: Bucks W2, Kings L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Bucks, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 119 – 112 Kings, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.2 vs -1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bucks' offense (117.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL +3.2 / SAC -1.2 per game
+4.4
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+6.7

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
39%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Kings win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

SACMIL
114.3
Points scored / game
117.4
115.7
Points allowed / game
113.6
44.5 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
30.0 %
3-point %
34.0 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
73.1 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
49.8
22.8
Assists / game
24.6
6.8
Steals / game
5.8
2.5
Blocks / game
4.0
14.3
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Kings
Zach LaVineG · #831pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1810assists
Domantas SabonisF · #1113rebounds
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #726pts / game
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #78assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

SACMIL
1-4Record4-1
114.3Points scored / game117.4
115.7Points allowed / game113.6
-1.2Adjusted margin / game+3.2
L3Current streakW2
1-4Last 10 games4-1
0-3 roadHome / road record3-0 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.