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Celtics vs Clippers prediction NBA · Saturday, January 3

FinalIntuit Dome · NBA TV, NBC Sports BO, FanDuel SN SoCal
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
22-12 · away
Final score
146-115
Projected: 115-111
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
12-22 · home
61% win BOSwin LAC 39%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin3.5
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (12-21) host the Boston Celtics (21-12) on Saturday, January 3 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 146 – Clippers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 8-8 at home and the Celtics are 11-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Clippers W6, Celtics W2).

The analysis Model

The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 111 – 115 Celtics, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' offense (116.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.2 / BOS +6.1 per game
-5.8
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
-3.5

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Celtics win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSLAC
116.8
Points scored / game
112.5
109.7
Points allowed / game
112.2
46.5 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
38.6 %
3-point %
39.0 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
76.0 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
40.8
27.8
Assists / game
25.0
9.0
Steals / game
12.5
3.8
Blocks / game
4.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #750pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #118assists
Jordan WalshG · #2713rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #222pts / game
James HardenG · #112assists
Ivica ZubacC · #407rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

BOS lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

BOSLAC
21-12Record12-21
116.8Points scored / game112.5
109.7Points allowed / game112.2
+6.1Adjusted margin / game+0.2
W2Current streakW6
7-3Last 10 games6-4
11-7 roadHome / road record8-8 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.