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Clippers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Sunday, November 16

FinalTD Garden · NBC Sports BO, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
4-9 · away
Final score
118-121
Projected: 108-116
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
7-7 · home
26% win LACwin BOS 74%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin8.2
Projected total224
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (6-7) host the LA Clippers (4-8) on Sunday, November 16 at 3:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 118 – Celtics 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 3-3 at home and the Clippers are 1-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 3-7 for the Clippers (current streaks: Celtics W1, Clippers W1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 116 – 108 Clippers, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.8 vs -0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +5.8 / LAC -0.1 per game
+5.9
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+8.2

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Clippers win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

LACBOS
112.2
Points scored / game
114.7
112.3
Points allowed / game
107.9
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
39.0 %
3-point %
38.6 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
78.6 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
44.3
25.0
Assists / game
27.8
12.5
Steals / game
9.0
4.5
Blocks / game
3.8
23.0
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Clippers
James HardenG · #137pts / game
James HardenG · #18assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4012rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #733pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #99assists
Jaylen BrownG · #713rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

BOS lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

LACBOS
4-8Record6-7
112.2Points scored / game114.7
112.3Points allowed / game107.9
-0.1Adjusted margin / game+5.8
W1Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games6-4
1-3 roadHome / road record3-3 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.