Timberwolves vs Heat prediction NBA · Saturday, January 3
At a glance
The Miami Heat (19-15) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (21-13) on Saturday, January 3 at 5:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 125 – Heat 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 12-5 at home and the Timberwolves are 9-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Heat and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Heat W4, Timberwolves L1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Heat 117 – 116 Timberwolves, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINMIA
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #533pts / gameAnthony EdwardsG · #55assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712reboundsHeat
Norman PowellG · #2421pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #26assists
Bam AdebayoC · #139reboundsRecent form
MINMIA
MIN
Team comparison
| MIN | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-13 | Record | 19-15 |
| 117.6 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 113.2 | Points allowed / game | 115.5 |
| +3.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 9-7 road | Home / road record | 12-5 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.