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Jazz vs Clippers prediction NBA · Thursday, January 1

FinalIntuit Dome · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
12-21 · away
Final score
101-118
Projected: 113-121
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
12-21 · home
25% win UTAHwin LAC 75%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin8.5
Projected total234
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The LA Clippers (11-21) host the Utah Jazz (12-20) on Thursday, January 1 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 101 – Clippers 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 7-8 at home and the Jazz are 4-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Clippers and 4-6 for the Jazz (current streaks: Clippers W5, Jazz L1).

The analysis Model

The Clippers start with a clear edge. The model projects Clippers 121 – 113 Jazz, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.1 vs -6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Jazz's offense (118.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC -0.1 / UTAH -6.3 per game
+6.2
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+8.5

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
45%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Jazz win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHLAC
118.1
Points scored / game
112.3
125.5
Points allowed / game
112.4
45.4 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
33.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
76.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
40.8
26.8
Assists / game
25.0
5.0
Steals / game
12.5
6.4
Blocks / game
4.5
17.0
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Jazz
Kyle AndersonF · #1222pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #810assists
Kyle AndersonF · #128rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #245pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
John CollinsF · #2011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHLAC
12-20Record11-21
118.1Points scored / game112.3
125.5Points allowed / game112.4
-6.3Adjusted margin / game-0.1
L1Current streakW5
4-6Last 10 games5-5
4-9 roadHome / road record7-8 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.