Heat vs Pistons prediction NBA · Thursday, January 1
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (25-8) host the Miami Heat (18-15) on Thursday, January 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Heat 118 – Pistons 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pistons are 13-2 at home and the Heat are 6-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 4-6 for the Heat (current streaks: Pistons W1, Heat W3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Heat have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pistons 118 – 114 Heat, a margin of about 4.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIADET
Top performers
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2436pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #211assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1314reboundsPistons
Cade CunninghamG · #231pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #211assistsCade CunninghamG · #28reboundsRecent form
MIADET
DET
Team comparison
| MIA | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-15 | Record | 25-8 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 115.5 | Points allowed / game | 112.9 |
| +2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.5 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 6-10 road | Home / road record | 13-2 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.