Pistons vs Heat prediction NBA · Saturday, November 29
At a glance
The Miami Heat (13-6) host the Detroit Pistons (15-4) on Saturday, November 29 at 8:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 138 – Heat 135. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 9-1 at home and the Pistons are 7-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Heat and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Heat W6, Pistons L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Heat, but the Pistons have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Heat 117 – 113 Pistons, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETMIA
Top performers
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #229pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #28assists
Paul ReedF · #710reboundsHeat
Andrew WigginsF · #2231pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #210assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1310reboundsRecent form
DETMIA
DET
Team comparison
| DET | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-4 | Record | 13-6 |
| 117.5 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 113.1 | Points allowed / game | 114.4 |
| +3.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W6 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 7-2 road | Home / road record | 9-1 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.