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Celtics vs Jazz prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 30

FinalDelta Center · NBC Sports BO, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
20-12 · away
Final score
129-119
Projected: 122-112
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
12-20 · home
78% win BOSwin UTAH 22%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin9.8
Projected total235
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (12-19) host the Boston Celtics (19-12) on Tuesday, December 30 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 129 – Jazz 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 8-10 at home and the Celtics are 9-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Jazz and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Jazz W2, Celtics L1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Jazz 112 – 122 Celtics, a margin of about 9.8 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs +5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -6.2 / BOS +5.9 per game
-12.1
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-9.8

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
6%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Celtics win by 10+
49%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSUTAH
116.4
Points scored / game
118.1
109.6
Points allowed / game
125.4
46.5 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
38.6 %
3-point %
33.9 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
76.0 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
27.8
Assists / game
26.8
9.0
Steals / game
5.0
3.8
Blocks / game
6.4
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Celtics
Derrick WhiteG · #927pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #710assists
Derrick WhiteG · #97rebounds
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #337pts / game
Jusuf NurkicC · #308assists
Lauri MarkkanenF · #239rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

BOSUTAH
19-12Record12-19
116.4Points scored / game118.1
109.6Points allowed / game125.4
+5.9Adjusted margin / game-6.2
L1Current streakW2
7-3Last 10 games4-6
9-7 roadHome / road record8-10 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.