Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Cavaliers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Monday, December 29

FinalFrost Bank Center · NBC, Peacock
44% win CLEwin SA 56%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin2.0
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (23-9) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-16) on Monday, December 29 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 113 – Spurs 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 11-3 at home and the Cavaliers are 6-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Spurs and 4-6 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Spurs L1, Cavaliers L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Spurs 118 – 116 Cavaliers, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +3.0 / CLE +3.3 per game
-0.3
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Spurs
+2.0

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

CLESA
120.2
Points scored / game
118.3
116.3
Points allowed / game
114.7
46.8 %
Field goal %
46.0 %
36.7 %
3-point %
34.6 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
79.3 %
Free throw %
78.3 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
45.0
26.3
Assists / game
28.2
8.8
Steals / game
9.8
7.5
Blocks / game
6.6
17.3
Turnovers / game
12.8

Top performers

Cavaliers
Jarrett AllenC · #3127pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #1011assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3110rebounds
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #126pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #58assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #114rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
SA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CLE lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

CLESA
17-16Record23-9
120.2Points scored / game118.3
116.3Points allowed / game114.7
+3.3Adjusted margin / game+3.0
L2Current streakL1
4-6Last 10 games8-2
6-8 roadHome / road record11-3 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season34-48 (-2.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.