Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Spurs vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Friday, December 5

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, FanDuel SN SW, NBA League Pass
35% win SAwin CLE 65%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin4.8
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (13-10) host the San Antonio Spurs (15-6) on Friday, December 5 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 117 – Cavaliers 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 8-5 at home and the Spurs are 6-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Cavaliers L1, Spurs W2).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 119 – 114 Spurs, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.5 / SA +2.0 per game
+2.5
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+4.8

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Spurs win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

SACLE
117.1
Points scored / game
120.1
114.8
Points allowed / game
114.8
46.0 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
34.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
78.3 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
47.0
28.2
Assists / game
26.3
9.8
Steals / game
8.8
6.6
Blocks / game
7.5
12.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Spurs
Devin VassellG · #2428pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #49assists
Keldon JohnsonF · #37rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4528pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #458assists
Evan MobleyC · #410rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CLE lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

SACLE
15-6Record13-10
117.1Points scored / game120.1
114.8Points allowed / game114.8
+2.0Adjusted margin / game+4.5
W2Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games5-5
6-4 roadHome / road record8-5 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.