Pacers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Monday, December 29
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (19-10) host the Indiana Pacers (6-26) on Monday, December 29 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 119 – Rockets 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 87% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 9-2 at home and the Pacers are 1-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Rockets and 2-8 for the Pacers (current streaks: Rockets W2, Pacers L8).
The analysis Model
The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Rockets 122 – 108 Pacers, a margin of about 13.9 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -5.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (118.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDHOU
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4323pts / game
Micah PotterC · #96assistsPascal SiakamF · #434reboundsRockets
Kevin DurantF · #730pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #17assists
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1010reboundsRecent form
INDHOU
IND
Team comparison
| IND | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-26 | Record | 19-10 |
| 111.8 | Points scored / game | 118.6 |
| 118.1 | Points allowed / game | 111.2 |
| -5.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| L8 | Current streak | W2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 1-14 road | Home / road record | 9-2 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.