Warriors vs Nets prediction NBA · Monday, December 29
At a glance
The Brooklyn Nets (10-19) host the Golden State Warriors (16-16) on Monday, December 29 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 120 – Nets 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 4-11 at home and the Warriors are 6-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Nets and 5-5 for the Warriors (current streaks: Nets W3, Warriors L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nets 110 – 112 Warriors, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (114.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSBKN
Top performers
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3027pts / gameStephen CurryG · #305assists
De'Anthony MeltonG · #88reboundsNets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1727pts / gameMichael Porter Jr.F · #175assistsMichael Porter Jr.F · #179reboundsRecent form
GSBKN
GS
Team comparison
| GS | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-16 | Record | 10-19 |
| 114.6 | Points scored / game | 108.4 |
| 112.5 | Points allowed / game | 113.3 |
| +1.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 6-12 road | Home / road record | 4-11 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 26-56 (-7.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Nets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.