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Nets vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Saturday, December 27

FinalTarget Center · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN North Extra
19% win BKNwin MIN 81%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin11.0
Projected total226
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-11) host the Brooklyn Nets (9-19) on Saturday, December 27 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 123 – Timberwolves 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 81% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 12-5 at home and the Nets are 5-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 6-4 for the Nets (current streaks: Timberwolves L1, Nets W2).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 119 – 108 Nets, a margin of about 11.0 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.1 vs -4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.1 / BKN -4.6 per game
+8.7
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+11.0

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
53%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Nets win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNMIN
108.0
Points scored / game
117.8
113.4
Points allowed / game
113.0
42.9 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
36.7 %
3-point %
38.4 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
76.6 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
51.6
24.0
Assists / game
27.0
10.0
Steals / game
9.2
4.0
Blocks / game
4.4
17.5
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Nets
Cam ThomasG · #2430pts / game
Cam ThomasG · #244assists
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1710rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #528pts / game
Julius RandleF · #3011assists
Rudy GobertC · #278rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

BKNMIN
9-19Record20-11
108.0Points scored / game117.8
113.4Points allowed / game113.0
-4.6Adjusted margin / game+4.1
W2Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games7-3
5-8 roadHome / road record12-5 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.