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Timberwolves vs Nets prediction NBA · Monday, November 3

FinalBarclays Center · Peacock, FanDuel SN North
79% win MINwin BKN 21%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin10.3
Projected total224
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (0-6) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-3) on Monday, November 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 125 – Nets 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 0-3 at home and the Timberwolves are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-6 for the Nets and 3-3 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Nets L6, Timberwolves W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Timberwolves dominate this matchup. The model projects Nets 107 – 117 Timberwolves, a margin of about 10.3 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-8.5 vs +2.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (114.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -8.5 / MIN +2.5 per game
-11.0
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backNets played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
-10.3

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
5%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Timberwolves win by 10+
51%

Stat comparison Current season

MINBKN
114.7
Points scored / game
107.5
111.8
Points allowed / game
117.5
47.3 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
38.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
62.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
43.5
27.0
Assists / game
24.0
9.2
Steals / game
10.0
4.4
Blocks / game
4.0
16.2
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Timberwolves
Donte DiVincenzoG · #025pts / game
Julius RandleF · #3010assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712rebounds
Nets
Cam ThomasG · #2425pts / game
Nic ClaxtonC · #97assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #98rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MINBKN
3-3Record0-6
114.7Points scored / game107.5
111.8Points allowed / game117.5
+2.5Adjusted margin / game-8.5
W1Current streakL6
3-3Last 10 games0-6
2-1 roadHome / road record0-3 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.