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Cavaliers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Saturday, December 27

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass, Space City Home Network
35% win CLEwin HOU 65%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin4.7
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (18-10) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-15) on Saturday, December 27 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 100 – Rockets 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 8-2 at home and the Cavaliers are 6-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Rockets and 4-6 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Rockets W1, Cavaliers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Cavaliers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Rockets 119 – 114 Cavaliers, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +6.1 / CLE +3.7 per game
+2.4
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+4.7

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Cavaliers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEHOU
120.6
Points scored / game
118.6
116.3
Points allowed / game
111.4
46.8 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
36.7 %
3-point %
40.4 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
79.3 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
26.3
Assists / game
28.2
8.8
Steals / game
10.2
7.5
Blocks / game
6.0
17.3
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Cavaliers
Jaylon TysonG · #2023pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #456assists
Jaylon TysonG · #2015rebounds
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #730pts / game
Reed SheppardG · #158assists
Amen ThompsonG · #19rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

HOU lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

CLEHOU
17-15Record18-10
120.6Points scored / game118.6
116.3Points allowed / game111.4
+3.7Adjusted margin / game+6.1
L1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
6-7 roadHome / road record8-2 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.