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Rockets vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 19

FinalRocket Arena · ESPN, FanDuel SN OH, Space City Home Network, NBA League Pass
46% win HOUwin CLE 54%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin1.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (10-5) host the Houston Rockets (9-3) on Wednesday, November 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 114 – Cavaliers 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 6-2 at home and the Rockets are 4-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 9-1 for the Rockets (current streaks: Cavaliers W2, Rockets W4).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Cavaliers 117 – 116 Rockets, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +5.8 / HOU +6.8 per game
-1.0
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+1.3

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Rockets win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUCLE
119.5
Points scored / game
121.4
111.5
Points allowed / game
114.5
51.7 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
40.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
84.7 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
28.2
Assists / game
26.3
10.2
Steals / game
8.8
6.0
Blocks / game
7.5
15.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2828pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #287assists
Alperen SengunC · #2811rebounds
Cavaliers
De'Andre HunterF · #1525pts / game
Craig Porter Jr.G · #95assists
Craig Porter Jr.G · #97rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

HOU lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

HOUCLE
9-3Record10-5
119.5Points scored / game121.4
111.5Points allowed / game114.5
+6.8Adjusted margin / game+5.8
W4Current streakW2
9-1Last 10 games7-3
4-2 roadHome / road record6-2 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.