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Pistons vs Jazz prediction NBA · Friday, December 26

FinalDelta Center · FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
24-7 · away
Final score
129-131
Projected: 123-114
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
11-19 · home
77% win DETwin UTAH 23%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin9.2
Projected total237
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (10-19) host the Detroit Pistons (24-6) on Friday, December 26 at 9:30 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 129 – Jazz 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Jazz are 7-10 at home and the Pistons are 11-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Jazz and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Jazz L4, Pistons W3).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Jazz 114 – 123 Pistons, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.9 vs +4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -6.9 / DET +4.6 per game
-11.5
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-9.2

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
6%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Pistons win by 10+
47%

Stat comparison Current season

DETUTAH
118.1
Points scored / game
117.6
112.7
Points allowed / game
125.6
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
37.9 %
3-point %
33.9 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
74.4 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
46.8
27.0
Assists / game
26.8
8.0
Steals / game
5.0
7.2
Blocks / game
6.4
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #229pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #217assists
Tobias HarrisF · #237rebounds
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #331pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #89assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

DETUTAH
24-6Record10-19
118.1Points scored / game117.6
112.7Points allowed / game125.6
+4.6Adjusted margin / game-6.9
W3Current streakL4
8-2Last 10 games4-6
11-4 roadHome / road record7-10 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.