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Jazz vs Pistons prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN DET
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
3-5 · away
Final score
103-114
Projected: 110-121
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
6-2 · home
20% win UTAHwin DET 80%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin10.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (5-2) host the Utah Jazz (3-4) on Wednesday, November 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 103 – Pistons 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 3-1 at home and the Jazz are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-2 for the Pistons and 3-4 for the Jazz (current streaks: Pistons W3, Jazz W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 121 – 110 Jazz, a margin of about 10.3 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+2.1 vs -6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +2.1 / UTAH -6.0 per game
+8.0
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+10.3

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
51%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Jazz win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHDET
113.2
Points scored / game
115.6
120.3
Points allowed / game
113.2
45.4 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
33.9 %
3-point %
37.9 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
76.6 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.8
Assists / game
27.0
5.0
Steals / game
8.0
6.4
Blocks / game
7.2
17.0
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Jazz
Svi MykhailiukG · #1028pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #36assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3017rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #231pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #210assists
Jalen DurenC · #022rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

UTAHDET
3-4Record5-2
113.2Points scored / game115.6
120.3Points allowed / game113.2
-6.0Adjusted margin / game+2.1
W1Current streakW3
3-4Last 10 games5-2
1-3 roadHome / road record3-1 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.