Bucks vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, December 26
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (14-16) host the Milwaukee Bucks (12-18) on Friday, December 26 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 104 – Grizzlies 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 6-8 at home and the Bucks are 4-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Grizzlies and 4-6 for the Bucks (current streaks: Grizzlies W1, Bucks W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Grizzlies 118 – 114 Bucks, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILMEM
Top performers
Bucks
AJ GreenG · #2020pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #75assists
Bobby PortisF · #9512reboundsGrizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2024pts / game
Ja MorantG · #110assistsJaren Jackson Jr.F · #209reboundsRecent form
MILMEM
MIL
Team comparison
| MIL | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-18 | Record | 14-16 |
| 113.7 | Points scored / game | 116.9 |
| 115.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| -1.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.5 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 4-10 road | Home / road record | 6-8 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.