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Magic vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass
56% win ORLwin POR 44%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin1.8
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (12-17) host the Orlando Magic (16-13) on Tuesday, December 23 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 110 – Trail Blazers 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 5-7 at home and the Magic are 6-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Trail Blazers L1, Magic L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Trail Blazers 113 – 115 Magic, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers and the Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.8 vs +1.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.8 / ORL +1.3 per game
-4.1
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-1.8

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLPOR
113.9
Points scored / game
115.6
112.3
Points allowed / game
118.8
44.2 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
31.4 %
3-point %
38.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
75.0 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
46.3
26.0
Assists / game
30.7
7.8
Steals / game
8.3
4.5
Blocks / game
2.7
17.8
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Magic
Desmond BaneG · #323pts / game
Tyus JonesG · #57assists
Anthony BlackG · #07rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #825pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #88assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2314rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ORL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

ORLPOR
16-13Record12-17
113.9Points scored / game115.6
112.3Points allowed / game118.8
+1.3Adjusted margin / game-2.8
L1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games4-6
6-8 roadHome / road record5-7 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.