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Trail Blazers vs Magic prediction NBA · Monday, November 10

FinalKia Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN FL
46% win PORwin ORL 54%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin1.4
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (4-6) host the Portland Trail Blazers (5-4) on Monday, November 10 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 112 – Magic 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 2-3 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-6 for the Magic and 5-4 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Magic L1, Trail Blazers L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Magic 113 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL -0.1 / POR -0.8 per game
+0.7
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Back-to-backMagic played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Magic
+1.4

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

PORORL
115.5
Points scored / game
110.2
116.4
Points allowed / game
110.4
51.1 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
38.9 %
3-point %
31.4 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
70.8 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
41.3
30.7
Assists / game
26.0
8.3
Steals / game
7.8
2.7
Blocks / game
4.5
13.3
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1731pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #57assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #528pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #37assists
Paolo BancheroF · #59rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ORL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PORORL
5-4Record4-6
115.5Points scored / game110.2
116.4Points allowed / game110.4
-0.8Adjusted margin / game-0.1
L1Current streakL1
5-4Last 10 games4-6
2-2 roadHome / road record2-3 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.