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Nets vs 76ers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), NBC Sports Phil
30% win BKNwin PHI 70%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin6.4
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (16-11) host the Brooklyn Nets (8-19) on Tuesday, December 23 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 114 – 76ers 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 70% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the 76ers are 9-7 at home and the Nets are 4-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the 76ers and 5-5 for the Nets (current streaks: 76ers W2, Nets W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the 76ers, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects 76ers 116 – 110 Nets, a margin of about 6.4 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.7 vs -4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' offense (114.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.7 / BKN -4.9 per game
+4.1
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
+6.4

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
39%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Nets win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNPHI
107.9
Points scored / game
114.7
113.6
Points allowed / game
115.6
42.9 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
36.7 %
3-point %
32.6 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
42.2
24.0
Assists / game
24.6
10.0
Steals / game
9.8
4.0
Blocks / game
5.6
17.5
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1728pts / game
Day'Ron SharpeC · #206assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #2011rebounds
76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2127pts / game
Joel EmbiidC · #214assists
Andre DrummondC · #013rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNPHI
8-19Record16-11
107.9Points scored / game114.7
113.6Points allowed / game115.6
-4.9Adjusted margin / game-0.7
W1Current streakW2
5-5Last 10 games7-3
4-8 roadHome / road record9-7 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.