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76ers vs Nets prediction NBA · Friday, November 28

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
59% win PHIwin BKN 41%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin2.7
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (3-14) host the Philadelphia 76ers (9-8) on Friday, November 28 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 115 – Nets 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 0-8 at home and the 76ers are 4-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Nets and 4-6 for the 76ers (current streaks: Nets L2, 76ers L2).

The analysis Model

The 76ers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nets 113 – 115 76ers, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.7 vs -2.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' offense (114.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.7 / PHI -2.7 per game
-5.0
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-2.7

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
28%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIBKN
114.2
Points scored / game
107.5
117.3
Points allowed / game
116.6
42.8 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
32.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
77.5 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
43.5
24.6
Assists / game
24.0
9.8
Steals / game
10.0
5.6
Blocks / game
4.0
12.6
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #022pts / game
Quentin GrimesG · #59assists
Dominick BarlowF · #2510rebounds
Nets
Egor DeminG · #823pts / game
Terance MannG · #146assists
Egor DeminG · #89rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIBKN
9-8Record3-14
114.2Points scored / game107.5
117.3Points allowed / game116.6
-2.7Adjusted margin / game-7.7
L2Current streakL2
4-6Last 10 games3-7
4-3 roadHome / road record0-8 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.