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Pistons vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Monday, December 22

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass
65% win DETwin POR 35%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin4.9
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (12-16) host the Detroit Pistons (22-6) on Monday, December 22 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 110 – Trail Blazers 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 5-6 at home and the Pistons are 9-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Pistons W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Trail Blazers 114 – 119 Pistons, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.7 vs +4.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.7 / DET +4.5 per game
-7.2
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-4.9

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
12%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Pistons win by 10+
34%

Stat comparison Current season

DETPOR
117.9
Points scored / game
115.9
112.6
Points allowed / game
119.0
45.9 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
37.9 %
3-point %
38.9 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
74.4 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
46.3
27.0
Assists / game
30.7
8.0
Steals / game
8.3
7.2
Blocks / game
2.7
15.6
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #026pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #29assists
Ausar ThompsonG · #912rebounds
Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1725pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #89assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2310rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

DET lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

DETPOR
22-6Record12-16
117.9Points scored / game115.9
112.6Points allowed / game119.0
+4.5Adjusted margin / game-2.7
W1Current streakW3
7-3Last 10 games4-6
9-4 roadHome / road record5-6 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.