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Magic vs Warriors prediction NBA · Monday, December 22

FinalChase Center · NBC Sports BA, FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass
44% win ORLwin GS 56%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin2.0
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (14-15) host the Orlando Magic (16-12) on Monday, December 22 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 97 – Warriors 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 8-4 at home and the Magic are 6-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 6-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Warriors W1, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Warriors 114 – 112 Magic, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +1.5 / ORL +1.9 per game
-0.3
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Warriors
+2.0

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLGS
114.3
Points scored / game
113.9
112.1
Points allowed / game
112.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
31.4 %
3-point %
36.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
75.0 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
43.8
26.0
Assists / game
25.6
7.8
Steals / game
9.6
4.5
Blocks / game
3.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #521pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #57assists
Paolo BancheroF · #512rebounds
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3026pts / game
Stephen CurryG · #306assists
Quinten PostC · #4112rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

ORLGS
16-12Record14-15
114.3Points scored / game113.9
112.1Points allowed / game112.1
+1.9Adjusted margin / game+1.5
W1Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games4-6
6-7 roadHome / road record8-4 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.