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Warriors vs Magic prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 18

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, NBC Sports BA, NBA League Pass
47% win GSwin ORL 53%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin0.9
Projected total224
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (7-7) host the Golden State Warriors (9-6) on Tuesday, November 18 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 113 – Magic 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 4-3 at home and the Warriors are 4-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Magic and 5-5 for the Warriors (current streaks: Magic L1, Warriors W3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Magic 113 – 112 Warriors, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Warriors' offense (114.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.6 / GS +2.0 per game
-1.4
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+0.9

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Warriors win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

GSORL
114.8
Points scored / game
110.9
112.4
Points allowed / game
110.1
45.0 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
36.9 %
3-point %
31.4 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
82.2 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
41.3
25.6
Assists / game
26.0
9.6
Steals / game
7.8
3.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3034pts / game
Stephen CurryG · #309assists
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #107rebounds
Magic
Desmond BaneG · #323pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #48assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3412rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

GSORL
9-6Record7-7
114.8Points scored / game110.9
112.4Points allowed / game110.1
+2.0Adjusted margin / game+0.6
W3Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
4-6 roadHome / road record4-3 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.