Spurs vs Wizards prediction NBA · Sunday, December 21
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (5-21) host the San Antonio Spurs (20-8) on Sunday, December 21 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 124 – Wizards 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 2-9 at home and the Spurs are 10-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Wizards and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Wizards W1, Spurs W2).
The analysis Model
The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 110 – 123 Spurs, a margin of about 13.1 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-11.2 vs +2.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAWSH
Top performers
Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #427pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #511assists
Luke KornetC · #712reboundsWizards
Bub CarringtonG · #721pts / game
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #187assists
Tristan VukcevicF · #009reboundsRecent form
SAWSH
WSH
Team comparison
| SA | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-8 | Record | 5-21 |
| 118.0 | Points scored / game | 111.2 |
| 114.9 | Points allowed / game | 124.4 |
| +2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -11.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 10-6 road | Home / road record | 2-9 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.