Wizards vs Spurs prediction NBA · Thursday, December 18
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (18-8) host the Washington Wizards (4-20) on Thursday, December 18 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 94 – Spurs 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 89% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 9-2 at home and the Wizards are 2-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Spurs and 3-7 for the Wizards (current streaks: Spurs L1, Wizards W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Spurs 125 – 110 Wizards, a margin of about 15.3 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+1.6 vs -11.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHSA
Top performers
Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2018pts / game
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #187assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #99reboundsSpurs
Dylan HarperG · #224pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #57assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #18reboundsRecent form
WSHSA
WSH
Team comparison
| WSH | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-20 | Record | 18-8 |
| 111.2 | Points scored / game | 117.7 |
| 124.6 | Points allowed / game | 115.9 |
| -11.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 2-11 road | Home / road record | 9-2 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.