Spurs vs Hawks prediction NBA · Friday, December 19
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (15-13) host the San Antonio Spurs (19-8) on Friday, December 19 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 126 – Hawks 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 5-6 at home and the Spurs are 9-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Hawks and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Hawks L1, Spurs W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hawks 118 – 117 Spurs, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Hawks and the Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAATL
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #126pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #48assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #112reboundsHawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #723pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #16assistsJalen JohnsonF · #111reboundsRecent form
SAATL
ATL
Team comparison
| SA | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-8 | Record | 15-13 |
| 117.7 | Points scored / game | 118.3 |
| 115.3 | Points allowed / game | 118.4 |
| +2.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 9-6 road | Home / road record | 5-6 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.