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Hawks vs Spurs prediction NBA · Thursday, November 20

FinalFrost Bank Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBA TV, FanDuel SN SW
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
9-7 · away
Final score
126-135
Projected: 114-118
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
11-4 · home
39% win ATLwin SA 61%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin3.5
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (10-4) host the Atlanta Hawks (9-6) on Thursday, November 20 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 126 – Spurs 135. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 7-2 at home and the Hawks are 7-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 7-3 for the Hawks (current streaks: Spurs W2, Hawks L1).

The analysis Model

The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 118 – 114 Hawks, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +2.1 / ATL +0.9 per game
+1.2
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Spurs
+3.5

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hawks win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLSA
117.6
Points scored / game
116.2
116.6
Points allowed / game
113.8
46.9 %
Field goal %
46.0 %
34.8 %
3-point %
34.6 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
72.8 %
Free throw %
78.3 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
45.0
32.2
Assists / game
28.2
10.2
Steals / game
9.8
3.6
Blocks / game
6.6
14.0
Turnovers / game
12.8

Top performers

Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #738pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #17assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #112rebounds
Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #426pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #49assists
Keldon JohnsonF · #37rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
SA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

SA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

ATLSA
9-6Record10-4
117.6Points scored / game116.2
116.6Points allowed / game113.8
+0.9Adjusted margin / game+2.1
L1Current streakW2
7-3Last 10 games6-4
7-2 roadHome / road record7-2 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season34-48 (-2.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.