Nuggets vs Pacers prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 3
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (4-17) host the Denver Nuggets (14-6) on Wednesday, December 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 135 – Pacers 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 4-7 at home and the Nuggets are 8-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Pacers and 6-4 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Pacers L1, Nuggets L1).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Pacers 114 – 121 Nuggets, a margin of about 7.9 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-4.3 vs +5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENIND
Top performers
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2752pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1513assistsNikola JokicC · #158reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4323pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #27assists
Bennedict MathurinG · #247reboundsRecent form
DENIND
IND
Team comparison
| DEN | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-6 | Record | 4-17 |
| 123.2 | Points scored / game | 112.8 |
| 116.2 | Points allowed / game | 117.8 |
| +5.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 8-2 road | Home / road record | 4-7 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.