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Pacers vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Saturday, November 8

FinalBall Arena · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, Altitude Sports
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
1-8 · away
Final score
100-117
Projected: 112-121
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
7-2 · home
25% win INDwin DEN 75%
FavoriteDEN
Projected margin8.6
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Denver Nuggets (6-2) host the Indiana Pacers (1-7) on Saturday, November 8 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 100 – Nuggets 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 5-0 at home and the Pacers are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for the Nuggets and 1-7 for the Pacers (current streaks: Nuggets W3, Pacers L2).

The analysis Model

The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Nuggets 121 – 112 Pacers, a margin of about 8.6 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -1.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Nuggets' offense (122.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nuggets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DEN +6.3 / IND -1.5 per game
+7.9
Home-court advantageNuggets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backNuggets played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Nuggets
+8.6

Scenarios

Nuggets win by 10+
45%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Pacers win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

INDDEN
115.1
Points scored / game
122.5
116.9
Points allowed / game
115.1
47.1 %
Field goal %
45.8 %
31.2 %
3-point %
32.8 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
34.3
72.7 %
Free throw %
79.6 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
44.5
29.4
Assists / game
26.0
6.4
Steals / game
10.0
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
15.3

Top performers

Pacers
Aaron NesmithG · #2325pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #26assists
Pascal SiakamF · #436rebounds
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1532pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1514assists
Nikola JokicC · #1514rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
DEN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

DEN lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

INDDEN
1-7Record6-2
115.1Points scored / game122.5
116.9Points allowed / game115.1
-1.5Adjusted margin / game+6.3
L2Current streakW3
1-7Last 10 games6-2
0-3 roadHome / road record5-0 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season50-32 (+3.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Denver Nuggets Injury report Nuggets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.