Pacers vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Saturday, November 8
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (6-2) host the Indiana Pacers (1-7) on Saturday, November 8 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 100 – Nuggets 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 5-0 at home and the Pacers are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for the Nuggets and 1-7 for the Pacers (current streaks: Nuggets W3, Pacers L2).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Nuggets 121 – 112 Pacers, a margin of about 8.6 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -1.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDDEN
Top performers
Pacers
Aaron NesmithG · #2325pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #26assists
Pascal SiakamF · #436rebounds
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1532pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1514assists
Nikola JokicC · #1514reboundsRecent form
IND
DENTeam comparison
| IND | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 6-2 |
| 115.1 | Points scored / game | 122.5 |
| 116.9 | Points allowed / game | 115.1 |
| -1.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| L2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 1-7 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 0-3 road | Home / road record | 5-0 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
IND