Clippers vs Heat prediction NBA · Monday, December 1
At a glance
The Miami Heat (13-7) host the LA Clippers (5-15) on Monday, December 1 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 123 – Heat 140. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Heat are 9-2 at home and the Clippers are 2-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Heat and 2-8 for the Clippers (current streaks: Heat L1, Clippers L4).
The analysis Model
The Heat are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Heat 119 – 112 Clippers, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+3.0 vs -1.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACMIA
Top performers
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #236pts / game
Kris DunnG · #85assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4013reboundsHeat
Norman PowellG · #2430pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #212assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1314reboundsRecent form
LACMIA
MIA
Team comparison
| LAC | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-15 | Record | 13-7 |
| 112.2 | Points scored / game | 118.7 |
| 114.1 | Points allowed / game | 115.1 |
| -1.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L4 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 2-8 road | Home / road record | 9-2 home |
| 50-32 (+4.7) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.