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Heat vs Clippers prediction NBA · Monday, November 3

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN Sun, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
4-3 · away
Final score
120-119
Projected: 110-114
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
3-3 · home
38% win MIAwin LAC 62%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin4.0
Projected total223
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (3-2) host the Miami Heat (3-3) on Monday, November 3 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Heat 120 – Clippers 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 3-0 at home and the Heat are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Clippers and 3-3 for the Heat (current streaks: Clippers W1, Heat L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Heat have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 114 – 110 Heat, a margin of about 4.0 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Heat played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +2.6 / MIA +2.5 per game
+0.1
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backHeat played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Clippers
+4.0

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Heat win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

MIALAC
115.2
Points scored / game
112.4
112.2
Points allowed / game
109.3
45.3 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
31.7 %
3-point %
39.0 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
71.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
42.8
Rebounds / game
40.8
27.0
Assists / game
25.0
8.4
Steals / game
12.5
5.4
Blocks / game
4.5
14.2
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Heat
Bam AdebayoC · #1325pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #29assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1310rebounds
Clippers
James HardenG · #129pts / game
James HardenG · #18assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4018rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIA
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

MIA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

MIALAC
3-3Record3-2
115.2Points scored / game112.4
112.2Points allowed / game109.3
+2.5Adjusted margin / game+2.6
L2Current streakW1
3-3Last 10 games3-2
1-3 roadHome / road record3-0 home
37-45 (+0.6)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Miami Heat Injury report Heat

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.