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Trail Blazers vs Bucks prediction NBA · Monday, November 24

FinalFiserv Forum · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN WI
31% win PORwin MIL 69%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin6.1
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (8-9) host the Portland Trail Blazers (7-10) on Monday, November 24 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 115 – Bucks 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 69% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 5-5 at home and the Trail Blazers are 4-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Bucks and 3-7 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Bucks L4, Trail Blazers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Bucks, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 119 – 113 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 6.1 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -0.3 / POR -2.5 per game
+2.2
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTrail Blazers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Bucks
+6.1

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
38%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

PORMIL
116.0
Points scored / game
116.6
118.9
Points allowed / game
116.9
51.1 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
38.9 %
3-point %
34.0 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
70.8 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
49.8
30.7
Assists / game
24.6
8.3
Steals / game
5.8
2.7
Blocks / game
4.0
13.3
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #335pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #85assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds
Bucks
Bobby PortisF · #9522pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #137assists
Myles TurnerC · #311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

POR lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PORMIL
7-10Record8-9
116.0Points scored / game116.6
118.9Points allowed / game116.9
-2.5Adjusted margin / game-0.3
L1Current streakL4
3-7Last 10 games3-7
4-6 roadHome / road record5-5 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.