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Knicks vs Magic prediction NBA · Saturday, November 22

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, MSG, DAZN (MSG), NBA TV
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
9-6 · away
Final score
121-133
Projected: 114-113
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
10-7 · home
51% win NYwin ORL 49%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.3
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (9-7) host the New York Knicks (9-5) on Saturday, November 22 at 5:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 121 – Magic 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 6-3 at home and the Knicks are 1-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Magic and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Magic W2, Knicks W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Magic 113 – 114 Knicks, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (118.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +1.7 / NY +4.3 per game
-2.6
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
-0.3

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

NYORL
118.5
Points scored / game
111.9
113.4
Points allowed / game
109.9
42.2 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
35.9 %
3-point %
31.4 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
75.8 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
41.3
26.8
Assists / game
26.0
7.2
Steals / game
7.8
4.4
Blocks / game
4.5
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1133pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #1111assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #328rebounds
Magic
Franz WagnerF · #2237pts / game
Franz WagnerF · #227assists
Goga BitadzeC · #357rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYORL
9-5Record9-7
118.5Points scored / game111.9
113.4Points allowed / game109.9
+4.3Adjusted margin / game+1.7
W1Current streakW2
7-3Last 10 games7-3
1-4 roadHome / road record6-3 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.