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Magic vs Knicks prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12

FinalMadison Square Garden · ESPN, FanDuel SN FL, DAZN (MSG)
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
6-6 · away
Final score
124-107
Projected: 109-115
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
7-4 · home
31% win ORLwin NY 69%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin6.1
Projected total224
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (7-3) host the Orlando Magic (5-6) on Wednesday, November 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Magic 124 – Knicks 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 69% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 7-0 at home and the Magic are 2-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 4-6 for the Magic (current streaks: Knicks W5, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Knicks 115 – 109 Magic, a margin of about 6.1 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.4 vs -0.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (118.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.4 / ORL -0.0 per game
+5.4
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKnicks played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Knicks
+6.1

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
38%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Magic win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLNY
110.4
Points scored / game
118.5
110.5
Points allowed / game
112.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
31.4 %
3-point %
35.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
75.0 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
48.2
26.0
Assists / game
26.8
7.8
Steals / game
7.2
4.5
Blocks / game
4.4
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Magic
Franz WagnerF · #2228pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #38assists
Franz WagnerF · #229rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1131pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #116assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3212rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLNY
5-6Record7-3
110.4Points scored / game118.5
110.5Points allowed / game112.1
-0.0Adjusted margin / game+5.4
W1Current streakW5
4-6Last 10 games7-3
2-3 roadHome / road record7-0 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.