Knicks vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 19
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (4-11) host the New York Knicks (8-5) on Wednesday, November 19 at 9:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 113 – Mavericks 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 3-7 at home and the Knicks are 0-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Mavericks and 6-4 for the Knicks (current streaks: Mavericks L1, Knicks L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Mavericks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Mavericks 112 – 118 Knicks, a margin of about 5.8 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.7 vs +4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYDAL
Top performers
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1128pts / game
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #326assistsKarl-Anthony TownsC · #3214reboundsMavericks
D'Angelo RussellG23pts / gameD'Angelo RussellG7assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #2510reboundsRecent form
NYDAL
NY
Team comparison
| NY | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-5 | Record | 4-11 |
| 118.7 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 0-4 road | Home / road record | 3-7 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.