Mavericks vs Knicks prediction NBA · Monday, January 19
At a glance
The New York Knicks (26-17) host the Dallas Mavericks (17-26) on Monday, January 19 at 5:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 114 – Knicks 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 73% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 17-5 at home and the Mavericks are 4-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Knicks L3, Mavericks W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 120 – 112 Mavericks, a margin of about 7.6 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+3.2 vs -2.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (117.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALNY
Top performers
Mavericks
Max ChristieG · #026pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #95assists
Moussa CisseC · #309reboundsKnicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3222pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #116assistsKarl-Anthony TownsC · #3218reboundsRecent form
DALNY
NY
Team comparison
| DAL | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-26 | Record | 26-17 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 117.9 |
| 116.7 | Points allowed / game | 114.2 |
| -2.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 4-15 road | Home / road record | 17-5 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.