Kings vs Thunder prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 19
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (14-1) host the Sacramento Kings (3-11) on Wednesday, November 19 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 99 – Thunder 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 94% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 6-0 at home and the Kings are 1-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 2-8 for the Kings (current streaks: Thunder W6, Kings L6).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 125 – 106 Kings, a margin of about 19.5 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+12.2 vs -5.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACOKC
Top performers
Kings
Dennis SchroderG · #1721pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #186assistsRussell WestbrookG · #1811reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #233pts / game
Ajay MitchellG · #256assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5512reboundsRecent form
SACOKC
SAC
Team comparison
| SAC | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-11 | Record | 14-1 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 121.3 |
| 120.2 | Points allowed / game | 106.9 |
| -5.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +12.2 |
| L6 | Current streak | W6 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 1-6 road | Home / road record | 6-0 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.