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Thunder vs Kings prediction NBA · Friday, November 7

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBC Sports CA, FanDuel SN OK, NBA League Pass
77% win OKCwin SAC 23%
FavoriteOKC
Projected margin9.1
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (3-5) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (8-1) on Friday, November 7 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 132 – Kings 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 2-1 at home and the Thunder are 4-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for the Kings and 8-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Kings W1, Thunder L1).

The analysis Model

The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Kings 111 – 120 Thunder, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.9 vs +10.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Thunder's offense (121.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (108.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -0.9 / OKC +10.5 per game
-11.4
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-9.1

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
6%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Thunder win by 10+
47%

Stat comparison Current season

OKCSAC
121.2
Points scored / game
116.2
108.9
Points allowed / game
117.3
44.0 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
30.9 %
3-point %
30.0 %
32.4
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
86.4 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
46.0
Rebounds / game
41.5
22.0
Assists / game
22.8
8.4
Steals / game
6.8
6.8
Blocks / game
2.5
13.6
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Thunder
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5533pts / game
Ajay MitchellG · #2510assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5519rebounds
Kings
Russell WestbrookG · #1824pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #189assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
OKC
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

OKCSAC
8-1Record3-5
121.2Points scored / game116.2
108.9Points allowed / game117.3
+10.5Adjusted margin / game-0.9
L1Current streakW1
8-1Last 10 games3-5
4-1 roadHome / road record2-1 home
68-14 (+12.9)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury report Thunder

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.